Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Jordan Leavitt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase HooperNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Jordan LeavittNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
49%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.59
40%
Strike defense
59%
2.43
Takedown avg.
3.15
2%
Takedown accuracy
34%
55%
Takedown defense
30%
2.08
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Chase HooperJordan Leavitt
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
8 (50%)
Submission
7 (54%)
4 (25%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Leavitt56%
Chase Hooper 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Leavitt a 56% favorite over Chase Hooper in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1693), separated by just 2 points.

Chase Hooper enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chase Hooper finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Leavitt 69%.

Chase Hooper carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.