Chase Hooper vs Magomed Mustafaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-1Record14-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chase HooperMagomed Mustafaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chase Hooper66%
Magomed Mustafaev 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chase Hooper a 66% favorite over Magomed Mustafaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Mustafaev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1707), separated by just 1 points.
Chase Hooper finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Mustafaev 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.