Chelsea Hackett vs Paulina Wisniewska
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Paulina Wisniewska58%
Chelsea Hackett 42%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Paulina Wisniewska a 58% favorite over Chelsea Hackett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Paulina Wisniewska holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1541, a 112-point edge.
Paulina Wisniewska enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chelsea Hackett finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Paulina Wisniewska 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-4-1Record8-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
66"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Paulina Wisniewska is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Chelsea Hackett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1562
If they lose-11→ 1530
If they win+17→ 1670
If they lose-31→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chelsea HackettPaulina Wisniewska