Paulina Wisniewska vs Chelsea Hackett

DateOct 16, 2026

DivisionWomen's Flyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueWintrust Arena

BroadcastESPN 2

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 16, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET): Fri 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 10:00 AM
Your time

Paulina Wisniewska7-1-0Paulina Wisniewska vs Chelsea HackettChelsea HackettHammer |5-3-1

Paulina Wisniewska7-1-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

7-1-0Record5-3-1

27Age26

5'6"Height5'8"

66"Reach66"

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

Women's FlyweightWeight ClassWomen's Flyweight

Chelsea HackettHammer5-3-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Paulina Wisniewska owns a 75-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Paulina Wisniewska and Chelsea Hackett across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Paulina WisniewskaChelsea Hackett

Recent form

Paulina WisniewskaW L W W W · +64 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Chelsea HackettW L L W L · -12 Elo last 5

WLLWL

Elo edge

Paulina Wisniewska1635+23 last move

Chelsea Hackett1560+30 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

46%Paulina Wisniewska54%Chelsea Hackett

Model favoriteChelsea Hackett

Elo baseline39% for Chelsea Hackett

Matchup adjustment+15 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Chelsea HackettStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Chelsea Hackett is 54%, after Elo alone favored Paulina Wisniewska at 61%.

Current Elo ratings1635 · 1560Paulina Wisniewska leads by 75 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1525 · 1562Chelsea Hackett faced the stronger recent schedule (8 vs 9 sampled fights).

Elo record depth8 · 9 fightsChelsea Hackett has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Paulina WisniewskavsChelsea Hackett

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Paulina WisniewskaKO/TKO leads 43% of wins

Chelsea Hackettdecision leads 60% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Paulina WisniewskaChelsea Hackett

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per min2.58

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

Not availableSig. strike accuracy51

UFC flyweight average : 44%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per min4.85

UFC flyweight average : 3.87

Not availableSig. strike defense47

UFC flyweight average : 55%

Not availableTakedown average0

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 27%

Not availableTakedown defense57

UFC flyweight average : 57%

Not availableSubmission average0

UFC flyweight average : 0.60

3Wins by knockout1

1Wins by submission1

3Wins by decision3

0Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission1

1Losses by decision0

Paulina Wisniewska vs Chelsea Hackett is a scheduled Women's Flyweight fight on PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2. Paulina Wisniewska enters with a 7-1-0 record and Chelsea Hackett enters with a 5-3-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.