Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Alvarez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-12-0Record23-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height6'2"
80"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1721
If they lose-12→ 1697
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1705 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chidi NjokuaniJoel Alvarez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chidi Njokuani60%
Joel Alvarez 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Chidi Njokuani a 60% favorite over Joel Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1699), separated by just 10 points.
Joel Alvarez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chidi Njokuani finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Joel Alvarez 96%.
Chidi Njokuani carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.