Chris Duncan vs Nariman Abbasov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record28-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAzerbaijan Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris DuncanNariman Abbasov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Duncan60%
Nariman Abbasov 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Duncan a 60% favorite over Nariman Abbasov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1720), separated by just 3 points.
Nariman Abbasov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Nariman Abbasov 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.