Chris Duncan vs Tommy Gantt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record12-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
71"Reach76"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamJaw Breaker Boxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1738
If they lose-16→ 1706
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris DuncanTommy Gantt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Duncan and Tommy Gantt within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1722 vs 1720), separated by just 2 points.
Tommy Gantt enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Chris Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Gantt 92%.
Tommy Gantt carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.