Chris Padilla vs Dan Hooker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record24-14-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
74"Reach 75"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
If they win+12→ 1737
If they lose-12→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris PadillaDan Hooker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Padilla73%
Dan Hooker 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Padilla a 73% favorite over Dan Hooker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Hooker's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1725), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Padilla enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Padilla finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Dan Hooker 75%.
Chris Padilla and Dan Hooker share 1 common opponent: Nasrat Haqparast.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.