Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-1Record18-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
74"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1671 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Nasrat Haqparast is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chris Padilla carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1720
If they lose-15→ 1688
If they win+11→ 1739
If they lose-13→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris PadillaNasrat Haqparast
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Padilla and Nasrat Haqparast within a point of even.
Nasrat Haqparast holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1703, a 25-point edge.
Chris Padilla enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Chris Padilla finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.
Chris Padilla carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.