Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Edwards vs Rodolfo Bellato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record13-3-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamKnockout Squad

What's at stake

Rodolfo Bellato is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Christian Edwards carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian EdwardsNow 1567
If they win+21→ 1588
If they lose-11→ 1556
Rodolfo BellatoNow 1678
If they win+11→ 1689
If they lose-21→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.40
Sig. strikes / min
5.37
51%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
55%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
1.38
0%
Takedown accuracy
6%
0%
Takedown defense
94%
0
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Christian EdwardsRodolfo Bellato
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
1 (13%)
Submission
4 (31%)
2 (25%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodolfo Bellato59%
Christian Edwards 41%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodolfo Bellato a 59% favorite over Christian Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Rodolfo Bellato holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1567, a 111-point edge.

Christian Edwards finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Bellato 92%.

Christian Edwards and Rodolfo Bellato share 1 common opponent: Luke Fernandez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
Luke Fernandez
WinTKO · 2026