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Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Edwards vs Rodolfo Bellato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record13-4-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamKnockout Squad

What's at stake

Rodolfo Bellato is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Christian Edwards carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian EdwardsNow 1593
If they win+19→ 1612
If they lose-13→ 1580
Rodolfo BellatoNow 1653
If they win+13→ 1666
If they lose-19→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.40
Sig. strikes / min
5.37
51%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
55%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
1.38
0%
Takedown accuracy
6%
0%
Takedown defense
94%
0
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Christian EdwardsRodolfo Bellato
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
1 (11%)
Submission
4 (31%)
2 (22%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodolfo Bellato55%
Christian Edwards 45%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodolfo Bellato a 55% favorite over Christian Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Rodolfo Bellato holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1593, a 60-point edge.

Christian Edwards finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Bellato 92%.

Christian Edwards and Rodolfo Bellato share 1 common opponent: Luke Fernandez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
Luke Fernandez
WinTKO · 2026