UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards

EventUFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS
DateSep 26, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenueMeta APEX
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 26, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe
Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 8:00 AM

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS . Rodolfo Bellato enters with a 13-3-1 record and Christian Edwards enters with a 8-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards quick answers

When is Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards?

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards is listed for UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS on Sep 26, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST.

What event is Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards on?

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards is listed on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS .

What are the records for Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards?

Rodolfo Bellato enters with a 13-3-1 record and Christian Edwards enters with a 8-5-0 record.

What division is Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards?

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards is listed as a Light Heavyweight fight.

Rodolfo BellatoTrator |13-3-1Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian EdwardsChristian EdwardsPain |8-5-0
brRodolfo BellatoTrator13-3-1Rodolfo Bellatobr

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
13-3-1Record8-5-0
30Age27
6'3"Height6'5"
77"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight
usChristian EdwardsPain8-5-0usChristian Edwards
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Rodolfo Bellato owns a 111-point Elo edge (good). Rodolfo Bellato shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Rodolfo Bellato and Christian Edwards across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Rodolfo BellatoChristian Edwards
155016001650202420252026

Recent form

Rodolfo BellatoW L D W W · +42 Elo last 5
WLDWW
Christian EdwardsL W L W W · +47 Elo last 5
LWLWW

Elo edge

Rodolfo Bellato1678+18 last move
Christian Edwards1567-9 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
66%Rodolfo Bellato34%Christian Edwards
Model favoriteRodolfo Bellato
Elo baseline65% for Rodolfo Bellato
Matchup adjustment+1 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Rodolfo Bellato leads the full model at 66%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1678 · 1567Rodolfo Bellato leads by 111 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1599 · 1545Rodolfo Bellato faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth16 · 13 fightsRodolfo Bellato has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesRodolfo Bellato 3 · 1 Christian EdwardsStrongest available gap: Takedown average toward Rodolfo Bellato.

Stat advantages

Rodolfo BellatovsChristian Edwards
Takedown average
1.38vs0
Takedown accuracy
6%vs0%
Takedown defense
94%vs0%
Sig. strikes absorbed per min
5.86vs2.40

Finishing profile

Rodolfo BellatoKO/TKO leads 62% of wins
Christian EdwardsKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Tale of the tape

Rodolfo BellatoChristian Edwards
5.37Sig. strikes landed per min2.40
UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00
60Sig. strike accuracy51
UFC light heavyweight average : 50%
5.86Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.40
UFC light heavyweight average : 3.74
47Sig. strike defense55
UFC light heavyweight average : 51%
1.38Takedown average0
UFC light heavyweight average : 1.35
6Takedown accuracy0
UFC light heavyweight average : 29%
94Takedown defense0
UFC light heavyweight average : 58%
0.23Submission average0
UFC light heavyweight average : 0.58
8Wins by knockout5
4Wins by submission1
1Wins by decision2
2Losses by knockout1
0Losses by submission1
1Losses by decision3

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