Christian Leroy Duncan vs Gregory Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
79"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Christian Leroy Duncan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1769
If they lose-15→ 1737
If they win+11→ 1789
If they lose-13→ 1765
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanGregory Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan51%
Gregory Rodrigues 49%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 51% favorite over Gregory Rodrigues in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gregory Rodrigues's way (46%).
Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1778 to 1752, a 26-point edge.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Gregory Rodrigues 75%.
Christian Leroy Duncan and Gregory Rodrigues share 2 common opponents: Jared Cannonier and Denis Tiuliulin.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.