Christian Leroy Duncan vs Gregory Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
79"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Christian Leroy Duncan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1778
If they lose-15→ 1746
If they win+11→ 1788
If they lose-13→ 1764
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanGregory Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Christian Leroy Duncan and Gregory Rodrigues within a point of even.
Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1761, a 16-point edge.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Gregory Rodrigues 75%.
Christian Leroy Duncan and Gregory Rodrigues share 2 common opponents: Jared Cannonier and Denis Tiuliulin.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.