Christian Leroy Duncan vs Jared Cannonier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record18-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
79"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1774
If they lose-19→ 1742
If they win+19→ 1712
If they lose-13→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanJared Cannonier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan83%
Jared Cannonier 17%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 83% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1761 to 1693, a 68-point edge.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.
Christian Leroy Duncan and Jared Cannonier share 1 common opponent: Gregory Rodrigues.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.