Combat Edge Intelligence

Christopher Alvidrez vs Trevin Giles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trevin Giles
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Trevin Giles

“The Problem”

16-7-0WelterweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· avg 1673 EloTeamW4R Training Center· avg 1622 Elo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christopher AlvidrezNow 1660
If they win+24→ 1684
If they lose-24→ 1636
Trevin GilesNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.97
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
62%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
50%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
1.07
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
100%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Christopher AlvidrezTrevin Giles
1550160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
1 (14%)
Submission
5 (31%)
1 (14%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Christopher Alvidrez62%
Trevin Giles 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Christopher Alvidrez a 62% favorite over Trevin Giles in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Trevin Giles's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1662), separated by just 2 points.

Christopher Alvidrez enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Christopher Alvidrez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Giles 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.