Clay Guida vs Jim Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
38-25-0Record39-19-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamSussex County MMA
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Clay Guida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-8→ 1591
If they win+8→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Clay GuidaJim Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller81%
Clay Guida 19%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 81% favorite over Clay Guida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1599, a 121-point edge.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.
Clay Guida and Jim Miller share 3 common opponents: Chase Hooper, King Green and Bobby Green.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (3)
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2020
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2024