Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Durden vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Durden
us

Cody Durden

“Custom Made”

18-11-1FlyweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

18-11-1Record10-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamASM BJJ Association

What's at stake

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Cody Durden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cody DurdenNow 1625
If they win+14→ 1639
If they lose-10→ 1615
Nyamjargal TumendemberelNow 1692
If they win+13→ 1705
If they lose-19→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
45%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
51%
Strike defense
53%
3.99
Takedown avg.
3.10
10%
Takedown accuracy
39%
57%
Takedown defense
55%
0.65
Submission avg.
2.65

Trajectory

Cody DurdenNyamjargal Tumendemberel
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
6 (33%)
Submission
6 (60%)
6 (33%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel76%
Cody Durden 24%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Nyamjargal Tumendemberel a 76% favorite over Cody Durden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1625, a 67-point edge.

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cody Durden finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 80%.

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.