Cody Garbrandt vs Long Xiao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record27-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
65" Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1650 avg Elo · 19 ratedTeamXin-Du Martial Arts Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cody GarbrandtLong Xiao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cody Garbrandt52%
Long Xiao 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cody Garbrandt a 52% favorite over Long Xiao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1667), separated by just 3 points.
Long Xiao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Long Xiao 52%.
Long Xiao carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.