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Combat Edge Intelligence

Conor McCarthy vs Dumitru Girlean

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-Reach-
158 lbsWeight155 lbs
SBG NaasTeamFight House Verona

What's at stake

Conor McCarthy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Dumitru Girlean carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Conor McCarthyNow 1637
If they win+22→ 1659
If they lose-26→ 1611
Dumitru GirleanNow 1609
If they win+17→ 1626
If they lose-15→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Conor McCarthyDumitru Girlean
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (56%)
3 (43%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Conor McCarthy52%
Dumitru Girlean 48%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Conor McCarthy a 52% favorite over Dumitru Girlean in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Conor McCarthy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1609, a 28-point edge.

Conor McCarthy finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Dumitru Girlean 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.