Combat Edge Intelligence

Cortney Casey vs Montana De La Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record13-10-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA LabTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cortney CaseyNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Montana De La RosaNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
39%
Strike accuracy
37%
4
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.39
55%
Strike defense
45%
0.39
Takedown avg.
1.85
31%
Takedown accuracy
0%
40%
Takedown defense
68%
0.47
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Cortney CaseyMontana De La Rosa
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
4 (40%)
Submission
8 (62%)
3 (30%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Montana De La Rosa60%
Cortney Casey 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Montana De La Rosa a 60% favorite over Cortney Casey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cortney Casey's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1571), separated by just 0 points.

Cortney Casey finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Montana De La Rosa 69%.

Cortney Casey and Montana De La Rosa share 3 common opponents: JJ Aldrich, Mara Romero Borella and Mara Borella.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDecision (split) · 2021
JJ Aldrich
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
WinSubmission · 2020
Mara Romero Borella
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020
WinSubmission (Armbar) · 2020
Mara Borella
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2020