Cory Sandhagen vs Marlon Vera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record23-12-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70"Reach 70"
140 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTeam Oyama
What's at stake
Cory Sandhagen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marlon Vera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1764
If they lose-13→ 1740
If they win+13→ 1723
If they lose-11→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1775 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cory SandhagenMarlon Vera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cory Sandhagen83%
Marlon Vera 17%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Cory Sandhagen a 83% favorite over Marlon Vera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Cory Sandhagen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1753 to 1710, a 43-point edge.
Cory Sandhagen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cory Sandhagen finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 78%.
Cory Sandhagen and Marlon Vera share 2 common opponents: Deiveson Figueiredo and Rob Font.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.