Court McGee vs Eric Nolan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-14-0Record8-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'11"
75"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamLionheart Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Court McGee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Eric Nolan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1610
If they lose-14→ 1586
If they win+19→ 1557
If they lose-13→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Court McGeeEric Nolan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Court McGee68%
Eric Nolan 32%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Court McGee a 68% favorite over Eric Nolan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Court McGee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1600 to 1538, a 62-point edge.
Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Court McGee finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Eric Nolan 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.