Court McGee vs Matt Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-15-0Record24-19-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamImmortal Fight Team
What's at stake
Matt Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Court McGee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1596
If they lose-11→ 1572
If they win+11→ 1618
If they lose-13→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Court McGeeMatt Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Brown55%
Court McGee 45%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Brown a 55% favorite over Court McGee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Matt Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1607 to 1583, a 24-point edge.
Court McGee enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Court McGee finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Matt Brown 92%.
Court McGee and Matt Brown share 1 common opponent: Carlos Condit.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.