Court McGee vs Matt Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-14-0Record24-19-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamImmortal Fight Team
What's at stake
Matt Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Court McGee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1613
If they lose-11→ 1589
If they win+11→ 1635
If they lose-13→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Court McGeeMatt Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Court McGee and Matt Brown within a point of even.
Matt Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1624 to 1600, a 24-point edge.
Court McGee finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Matt Brown 92%.
Court McGee and Matt Brown share 2 common opponents: Carlos Condit and Dhiego Lima.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.