Cub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
UFC Gym Costa MesaTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Nate Landwehr carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1756
If they lose-16→ 1732
If they win+21→ 1661
If they lose-11→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonNate Landwehr
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cub Swanson64%
Nate Landwehr 36%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 64% favorite over Nate Landwehr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1640, a 108-point edge.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.
Cub Swanson and Nate Landwehr share 1 common opponent: Darren Elkins.
Nate Landwehr carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.