Cub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
UFC Gym Costa MesaTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nate Landwehr carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1755
If they lose-15→ 1731
If they win+20→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonNate Landwehr
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cub Swanson54%
Nate Landwehr 46%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 54% favorite over Nate Landwehr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1648, a 98-point edge.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.
Cub Swanson and Nate Landwehr share 1 common opponent: Darren Elkins.
Nate Landwehr carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.