Combat Edge Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo vs Jéssica Andrade

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record26-15-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'2"
64"Reach62"
119 lbsWeight125 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamParana Vale Tudo

What's at stake

Jéssica Andrade is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Cynthia Calvillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1589
If they win+19→ 1608
If they lose-13→ 1576
Jéssica AndradeNow 1661
If they win+10→ 1671
If they lose-14→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
6.39
38%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.49
64%
Strike defense
54%
1.80
Takedown avg.
2.21
44%
Takedown accuracy
55%
78%
Takedown defense
72%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Cynthia CalvilloJéssica Andrade
16001650170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
10 (38%)
3 (30%)
Submission
8 (31%)
5 (50%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jéssica Andrade70%
Cynthia Calvillo 30%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Jéssica Andrade a 70% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Jéssica Andrade holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1589, a 72-point edge.

Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jéssica Andrade 69%.

Cynthia Calvillo and Jéssica Andrade share 2 common opponents: Lupita Godinez and Marina Rodriguez.

Cynthia Calvillo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (Split) · 2023
Lupita Godinez
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
DrawDraw (majority) · 2019
Marina Rodriguez
WinDecision - Split · 2024