Combat Edge Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo vs Jessica Eye

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record15-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'6"
64"Reach66"
119 lbsWeight126 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Jessica EyeNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
38%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.19
64%
Strike defense
56%
1.80
Takedown avg.
0.58
44%
Takedown accuracy
41%
78%
Takedown defense
57%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Cynthia CalvilloJessica Eye
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
3 (30%)
Submission
1 (7%)
5 (50%)
Decision
11 (73%)

Combat Edge model read

Jessica Eye52%
Cynthia Calvillo 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jessica Eye a 52% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cynthia Calvillo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1586), separated by just 3 points.

Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jessica Eye 27%.

Cynthia Calvillo and Jessica Eye share 1 common opponent: Katlyn Cerminara.

Jessica Eye carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Katlyn Cerminara
WinDEC · 2018