Cynthia Calvillo vs Marina Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-1Record17-6-2
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64"Reach65"
119 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamThai Brasil
What's at stake
Marina Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Cynthia Calvillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1577
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-20→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cynthia CalvilloMarina Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marina Rodriguez70%
Cynthia Calvillo 30%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Marina Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Marina Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1589, a 86-point edge.
Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.
Cynthia Calvillo and Marina Rodriguez share 1 common opponent: Jéssica Andrade.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.