Combat Edge Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo vs Poliana Botelho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record9-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
64"Reach67"
119 lbsWeight125 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1589
If they win+15→ 1604
If they lose-17→ 1572
Poliana BotelhoNow 1575
If they win+17→ 1592
If they lose-15→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
38%
Strike accuracy
59%
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
64%
Strike defense
54%
1.80
Takedown avg.
0.85
44%
Takedown accuracy
57%
78%
Takedown defense
77%
0.81
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cynthia CalvilloPoliana Botelho
1550160016502021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
3 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (50%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Poliana Botelho60%
Cynthia Calvillo 40%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Poliana Botelho a 60% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cynthia Calvillo's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1575), separated by just 14 points.

Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Poliana Botelho 67%.

Poliana Botelho carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.