Cynthia Calvillo vs Poliana Botelho

Nov 18, 2018 · ESPN+

DateNov 18, 2018

DivisionWomen's Strawweight

StatusScheduled

VenueArena Parque Roca

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, November 18, 2018 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 1:00 PM
Your time

Cynthia Calvillo10-6-1Cynthia Calvillo vs Poliana BotelhoPoliana Botelho9-5-0

Cynthia Calvillo10-6-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time4:48

10-6-1Record9-5-0

39Age37

5'4"Height5'5"

64"Reach67"

119 lbsWeight125 lbs

Women's StrawweightWeight ClassWomen's Strawweight

Poliana Botelho9-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo owns a 14-point Elo edge (solid). Cynthia Calvillo shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Cynthia Calvillo and Poliana Botelho across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Cynthia CalvilloPoliana Botelho

Recent form

Cynthia CalvilloW L L L L · -45 Elo last 5

WLLLL

Poliana BotelhoW L L L W · -28 Elo last 5

WLLLW

Elo edge

Cynthia Calvillo1588+18 last move

Poliana Botelho1574+13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Cynthia CalvilloNot on the active ladder · 1588 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Lisa Kyriacou (rated 1604 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Andrea Lee (rated 1645 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -45 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1566, not 1588: 22 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Poliana BotelhoNot on the active ladder · 1574 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Silvana Gómez Juárez (rated 1599 at the time): +34.
Costliest loss: Lost to Cynthia Calvillo (rated 1620 at the time): -30.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -28 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1484, not 1574: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1588

Wins by decision+15→ 1603

Loses by decision-17→ 1571

Poliana BotelhoNow 1574

Wins by decision+17→ 1591

Loses by decision-15→ 1559

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Cynthia CalvillovsPoliana Botelho

Submission average

0.81vs0

Takedown average

1.80vs0.85

Sig. strike accuracy

38%vs59%

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.41vs2.90

Finishing profile

Cynthia Calvillodecision leads 50% of wins

Poliana BotelhoKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

Gillian RobertsonCynthia Calvillo: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Nov 19, 2016Poliana Botelho: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Oct 17, 2020

Pearl Gonzalez Cynthia Calvillo: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Apr 8, 2017 Poliana Botelho: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Oct 7, 2017

Tale of the tape

Cynthia CalvilloPoliana Botelho

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.41Sig. strikes landed per min2.90

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

38Sig. strike accuracy59

UFC flyweight average : 44%

4.12Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.80

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

64Sig. strike defense54

UFC flyweight average : 55%

1.80Takedown average0.85

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

44Takedown accuracy57

UFC flyweight average : 26%

78Takedown defense77

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0.81Submission average0

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

2Wins by knockout6

3Wins by submission0

5Wins by decision3

2Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission2

4Losses by decision3

Cynthia Calvillo vs Poliana Botelho is a scheduled Women's Strawweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MAGNY VS PONZINIBBIO. Cynthia Calvillo enters with a 10-6-1 record and Poliana Botelho enters with a 9-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.