César Almeida vs Ihor Potieria
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record21-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Ihor Potieria is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — César Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1646
If they lose-14→ 1614
If they win+11→ 1675
If they lose-13→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
César AlmeidaIhor Potieria
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ihor Potieria73%
César Almeida 27%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Ihor Potieria a 73% favorite over César Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Ihor Potieria holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1628, a 36-point edge.
César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
César Almeida finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ihor Potieria 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.