Combat Edge Intelligence

César Almeida vs Ihor Potieria

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record20-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Lotus MMATeamStandard Pro

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

César AlmeidaNow 1628
If they win+17→ 1645
If they lose-15→ 1613
Ihor PotieriaNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.46
Sig. strikes / min
4.57
59%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
46%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
0.77
0%
Takedown accuracy
19%
52%
Takedown defense
67%
0.21
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

César AlmeidaIhor Potieria
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (30%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

César Almeida79%
Ihor Potieria 21%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes César Almeida a 79% favorite over Ihor Potieria in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ihor Potieria's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1640), separated by just 12 points.

César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ihor Potieria enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

César Almeida finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ihor Potieria 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.