Dakota Hope vs Francis Marshall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record10-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
67"Reach72"
146 lbsWeight155 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1607 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamPellegrino Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dakota HopeFrancis Marshall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Marshall62%
Dakota Hope 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Marshall a 62% favorite over Dakota Hope in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dakota Hope's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1655), separated by just 10 points.
Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dakota Hope finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Francis Marshall 60%.
Francis Marshall carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.