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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dakota Hope vs Kai Kamaka III

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Dakota Hope
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Dakota Hope

“Huracan”

11-3-0FeatherweightUFC

1664Good
Kai Kamaka III
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Kai Kamaka III

“The Fighting Hawaiian”

18-9-1FeatherweightUFC

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record18-9-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach69"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1607 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Dakota Hope is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kai Kamaka III carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dakota HopeNow 1664
If they win+15→ 1679
If they lose-17→ 1647
Kai Kamaka IIINow 1644
If they win+13→ 1657
If they lose-11→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.49
Not available
Strike accuracy
59%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.03
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.45
Not available
Takedown accuracy
54%
Not available
Takedown defense
55%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Dakota HopeKai Kamaka III
165020252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (45%)
Decision
14 (78%)

Combat Edge model read

Kai Kamaka III54%
Dakota Hope 46%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Kai Kamaka III a 54% favorite over Dakota Hope in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dakota Hope's way (47%).

Dakota Hope holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1644, a 20-point edge.

Kai Kamaka III enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dakota Hope finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kamaka III 22%.

Kai Kamaka III carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.