Dalton Rosta vs Yousri Belgaroui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record11-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'5"
75"Reach79"
186 lbsWeight190 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dalton RostaYousri Belgaroui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dalton Rosta62%
Yousri Belgaroui 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dalton Rosta a 62% favorite over Yousri Belgaroui in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yousri Belgaroui's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1666), separated by just 2 points.
Dalton Rosta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Yousri Belgaroui enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Dalton Rosta finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Yousri Belgaroui 82%.
Yousri Belgaroui carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.