Dan Hooker vs Mateusz Gamrot
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record26-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"Reach70"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
City KickboxingTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Mateusz Gamrot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dan Hooker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1740
If they lose-9→ 1716
If they win+9→ 1819
If they lose-15→ 1795
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HookerMateusz Gamrot
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Gamrot74%
Dan Hooker 26%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Gamrot a 74% favorite over Dan Hooker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Mateusz Gamrot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1810 to 1725, a 85-point edge.
Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Hooker finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Gamrot 54%.
Dan Hooker and Mateusz Gamrot share 2 common opponents: Arman Tsarukyan and Jalin Turner.
Dan Hooker carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.