Daniel Frunza vs Jonathan Hanes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
73"Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
Daniel Frunza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Hanes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1604
If they lose-18→ 1572
If they win+18→ 1561
If they lose-14→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniel FrunzaJonathan Hanes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Frunza68%
Jonathan Hanes 32%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Frunza a 68% favorite over Jonathan Hanes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Daniel Frunza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1590 to 1543, a 47-point edge.
Daniel Frunza finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Hanes 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.