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Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniil Matsola vs Kirill Grishenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Daniil Matsola
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Daniil Matsola

“Palach / Executioner”

7-1-0HeavyweightACA

1624Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record9-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
-Reach-
240 lbsWeight247 lbs
Sech Pro· 1668 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamM2G Sports Club

What's at stake

Kirill Grishenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Daniil Matsola carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniil MatsolaNow 1624
If they win+26→ 1650
If they lose-22→ 1602
Kirill GrishenkoNow 1647
If they win+15→ 1662
If they lose-17→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Daniil MatsolaKirill Grishenko
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

6 (86%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
1 (14%)
Submission
1 (11%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Kirill Grishenko52%
Daniil Matsola 48%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Kirill Grishenko a 52% favorite over Daniil Matsola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Kirill Grishenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1624, a 23-point edge.

Kirill Grishenko enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Daniil Matsola finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kirill Grishenko 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.