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ACA 208 : SHAIKHAEV VS TUMENOV

Kirill Grishenko vs Daniil Matsola

DateOct 4, 2026
DivisionHeavyweight
StatusScheduled
VenueColosseum
BroadcastACA TV
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, October 4, 2026 — watch on ACA TV.

US East (ET)
Sun 8:00 AM
US West (PT)
Sun 5:00 AM
United Kingdom
Sun 1:00 PM
Central Europe
Sun 2:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 11:00 PM
Kirill Grishenko9-2-0Kirill Grishenko vs Daniil MatsolaDaniil MatsolaPalach / Executioner |7-1-0
byKirill Grishenko9-2-0Kirill Grishenkoby

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
9-2-0Record7-1-0
35AgeTBD
6'4"Height6'3"
-Reach-
247 lbsWeight240 lbs
HeavyweightWeight ClassHeavyweight
ruDaniil MatsolaPalach / Executioner7-1-0ruDaniil Matsola
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kirill Grishenko owns a 23-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Kirill Grishenko and Daniil Matsola across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Kirill GrishenkoDaniil Matsola
15501600165020252026

Recent form

Kirill GrishenkoW W W W L · +47 Elo last 5
WWWWL
Daniil MatsolaL W W W W · +45 Elo last 5
LWWWW

Elo edge

Kirill Grishenko1647+16 last move
Daniil Matsola1624-28 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
49%Kirill Grishenko51%Daniil Matsola
Model favoriteDaniil Matsola
Elo baseline47% for Daniil Matsola
Matchup adjustment+4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Daniil Matsola is 51%, after Elo alone favored Kirill Grishenko at 53%.

Current Elo ratings1647 · 1624Kirill Grishenko leads by 23 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1552 · 1504Kirill Grishenko faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 8 sampled fights).
Elo record depth11 · 8 fightsKirill Grishenko has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Kirill GrishenkovsDaniil Matsola

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Kirill GrishenkoKO/TKO leads 44% of wins
Daniil MatsolaKO/TKO leads 86% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Kirill GrishenkoDaniil Matsola

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC heavyweight average : 3.71
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC heavyweight average : 49%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC heavyweight average : 3.89
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC heavyweight average : 51%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC heavyweight average : 1.41
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC heavyweight average : 30%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC heavyweight average : 54%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC heavyweight average : 0.45
4Wins by knockout6
1Wins by submission1
4Wins by decision0
1Losses by knockout1
1Losses by submission0
0Losses by decision0

Kirill Grishenko vs Daniil Matsola is a scheduled Heavyweight fight on ACA 208 : SHAIKHAEV VS TUMENOV. Kirill Grishenko enters with a 9-2-0 record and Daniil Matsola enters with a 7-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Kirill Grishenko vs Daniil Matsola quick answers

When is Kirill Grishenko vs Daniil Matsola?

Kirill Grishenko vs Daniil Matsola is listed for ACA 208 : SHAIKHAEV VS TUMENOV on Oct 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM EST.

What event is Kirill Grishenko vs Daniil Matsola on?

Kirill Grishenko vs Daniil Matsola is listed on ACA 208 : SHAIKHAEV VS TUMENOV.

What are the records for Kirill Grishenko vs Daniil Matsola?

Kirill Grishenko enters with a 9-2-0 record and Daniil Matsola enters with a 7-1-0 record.

What division is Kirill Grishenko vs Daniil Matsola?

Kirill Grishenko vs Daniil Matsola is listed as a Heavyweight fight.

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