Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrell Gholar vs Karl Albrektsson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-6-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
198 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamPancrase Gym Sweden

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darrell GholarNow 1494
If they win+24→ 1518
If they lose-24→ 1470
Karl AlbrektssonNow 1497
If they win+16→ 1513
If they lose-16→ 1481

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Darrell GholarKarl Albrektsson
14501500155020002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
1 (20%)
Submission
3 (21%)
1 (20%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Darrell Gholar and Karl Albrektsson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1497), separated by just 3 points.

Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darrell Gholar finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.