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Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrell Gholar vs Rade Novaković

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-6-0Record4-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
198 lbsWeightTBD
TeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Darrell GholarNow 1494
If they win+25→ 1519
If they lose-23→ 1471
Rade NovakovićNow 1502
If they win+23→ 1525
If they lose-25→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Darrell GholarRade Novaković
14501500200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Darrell Gholar54%
Rade Novaković 46%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Darrell Gholar a 54% favorite over Rade Novaković in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rade Novaković's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1502), separated by just 8 points.

Darrell Gholar finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.