Darrius Flowers vs Jake Matthews
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-1Record23-8-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamNexus
What's at stake
Jake Matthews is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Darrius Flowers carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1609
If they lose-9→ 1577
If they win+7→ 1758
If they lose-17→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Darrius FlowersJake Matthews
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Matthews87%
Darrius Flowers 13%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 87% favorite over Darrius Flowers in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Jake Matthews holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1586, a 165-point edge.
Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jake Matthews 61%.
Jake Matthews carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.