Combat Edge Intelligence

Darrius Flowers vs Lando Vannata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-1Record12-8-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Darrius Flowers is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Lando Vannata carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Darrius FlowersNow 1586
If they win+15→ 1601
If they lose-17→ 1569
Lando VannataNow 1571
If they win+17→ 1588
If they lose-15→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.76
44%
Strike defense
55%
0.98
Takedown avg.
1.09
29%
Takedown accuracy
38%
64%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Darrius FlowersLando Vannata
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
1 (8%)
Submission
5 (42%)
3 (23%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Darrius Flowers56%
Lando Vannata 44%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Darrius Flowers a 56% favorite over Lando Vannata in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Darrius Flowers holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1586 to 1571, a 15-point edge.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Darrius Flowers finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Lando Vannata 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.