Davey Grant vs Marlon Vera
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Vera82%
Davey Grant 18%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 82% favorite over Davey Grant in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Marlon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1635, a 89-point edge.
Davey Grant finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 79%.
Davey Grant and Marlon Vera share 1 common opponent: Charles Jourdain.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record24-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamTeam Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Marlon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Davey Grant carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1623
If they win+9→ 1733
If they lose-15→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1757 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Davey GrantMarlon Vera