Davey Grant vs Marlon Vera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record23-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamTeam Oyama
What's at stake
Marlon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Davey Grant carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1652
If they win+10→ 1720
If they lose-14→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Davey GrantMarlon Vera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Vera60%
Davey Grant 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 60% favorite over Davey Grant in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Marlon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1666, a 44-point edge.
Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Davey Grant finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.