Davey Grant vs Martin Day
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Davey Grant75%
Martin Day 25%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Davey Grant a 75% favorite over Martin Day in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Davey Grant holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1549, a 86-point edge.
Martin Day enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Davey Grant finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Martin Day 63%.
Davey Grant and Martin Day share 1 common opponent: Ramon Taveras.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record8-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach40,5"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamHawaii Elite MMA
What's at stake
Davey Grant is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Martin Day carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-20→ 1615
If they win+20→ 1569
If they lose-12→ 1537
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Davey GrantMartin Day