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Combat Edge Intelligence

David Dvořák vs Manel Kape

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Manel Kape
ao

Manel Kape

“Starboy”

23-7-0FlyweightUFC

1750Great

Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record23-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
68"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
All Sports Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAKA Thailand

What's at stake

Manel Kape is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — David Dvořák carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David DvořákNow 1675
If they win+19→ 1694
If they lose-13→ 1662
Manel KapeNow 1750
If they win+13→ 1763
If they lose-19→ 1731

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
4.68
43%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
60%
Strike defense
57%
0.58
Takedown avg.
0.36
0%
Takedown accuracy
20%
70%
Takedown defense
79%
0.19
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

David DvořákManel Kape
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
8 (36%)
Submission
5 (22%)
5 (23%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Manel Kape70%
David Dvořák 30%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Manel Kape a 70% favorite over David Dvořák in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Manel Kape holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1675, a 75-point edge.

Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.

David Dvořák finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Manel Kape 87%.

David Dvořák and Manel Kape share 3 common opponents: Zhalgas Zhumagulov, Matheus Nicolau and Bruno Silva.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Bruno Silva
WinTKO · 2024
LossDoctor Stoppage · 2025
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
WinTKO · 2021
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Matheus Nicolau
LossDecision (split) · 2021