David Dvořák vs Matheus Nicolau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record19-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
All Sports Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1690
If they lose-17→ 1658
If they win+17→ 1680
If they lose-15→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David DvořákMatheus Nicolau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Dvořák56%
Matheus Nicolau 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes David Dvořák a 56% favorite over Matheus Nicolau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1663), separated by just 12 points.
Matheus Nicolau enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
David Dvořák finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Nicolau 53%.
David Dvořák and Matheus Nicolau share 1 common opponent: Manel Kape.
David Dvořák carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.