Combat Edge Intelligence

David Samuel vs Rivaldo Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record4-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
-Reach68"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

David Samuel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Rivaldo Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David SamuelNow 1641
If they win+18→ 1659
If they lose-30→ 1611
Rivaldo PereiraNow 1557
If they win+30→ 1587
If they lose-18→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

David SamuelRivaldo Pereira
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
3 (75%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

David Samuel59%
Rivaldo Pereira 41%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes David Samuel a 59% favorite over Rivaldo Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

David Samuel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1557, a 84-point edge.

David Samuel enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Rivaldo Pereira enters on a 3-fight win streak.

David Samuel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rivaldo Pereira 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.