Combat Edge Intelligence

Deiveson Figueiredo vs John Moraga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-7-1Record19-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
68"Reach66,0"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

Deiveson Figueiredo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — John Moraga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Deiveson FigueiredoNow 1764
If they win+10→ 1774
If they lose-14→ 1750
John MoragaNow 1700
If they win+14→ 1714
If they lose-10→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
54%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
50%
Strike defense
56%
1.61
Takedown avg.
0.62
35%
Takedown accuracy
23%
58%
Takedown defense
45%
1.22
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Deiveson FigueiredoJohn Moraga
16501700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (16%)
9 (36%)
Submission
8 (42%)
7 (28%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Deiveson Figueiredo72%
John Moraga 28%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Deiveson Figueiredo a 72% favorite over John Moraga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Deiveson Figueiredo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1764 to 1700, a 64-point edge.

Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Deiveson Figueiredo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, John Moraga 58%.

Deiveson Figueiredo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.