Combat Edge Intelligence

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Payton Talbott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-7-1Record11-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'10"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

Deiveson Figueiredo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Payton Talbott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Deiveson FigueiredoNow 1764
If they win+11→ 1775
If they lose-13→ 1751
Payton TalbottNow 1742
If they win+17→ 1759
If they lose-15→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
6.62
54%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
50%
Strike defense
47%
1.61
Takedown avg.
0.78
8%
Takedown accuracy
0%
57%
Takedown defense
78%
1.18
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Deiveson FigueiredoPayton Talbott
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
9 (36%)
Submission
1 (9%)
7 (28%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Payton Talbott52%
Deiveson Figueiredo 48%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Payton Talbott a 52% favorite over Deiveson Figueiredo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Deiveson Figueiredo's way (47%).

Deiveson Figueiredo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1764 to 1742, a 22-point edge.

Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Payton Talbott enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Deiveson Figueiredo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Payton Talbott 73%.

Payton Talbott carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.