Combat Edge Intelligence

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-7-1Record21-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

Deiveson Figueiredo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Tim Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Deiveson FigueiredoNow 1764
If they win+8→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1748
Tim ElliottNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-8→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
54%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
50%
Strike defense
58%
1.61
Takedown avg.
3.71
35%
Takedown accuracy
48%
58%
Takedown defense
59%
1.22
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

Deiveson FigueiredoTim Elliott
16001650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
9 (36%)
Submission
8 (38%)
7 (28%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Deiveson Figueiredo71%
Tim Elliott 29%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Deiveson Figueiredo a 71% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Deiveson Figueiredo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1764 to 1644, a 120-point edge.

Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Deiveson Figueiredo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.

Deiveson Figueiredo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.