Deiveson Figueiredo vs Umar Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-7-1Record20-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
68"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamEagles MMA· 1815 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Umar Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Deiveson Figueiredo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1777
If they lose-11→ 1753
If they win+14→ 1816
If they lose-18→ 1784
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1756 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Deiveson FigueiredoUmar Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Umar Nurmagomedov65%
Deiveson Figueiredo 35%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Umar Nurmagomedov a 65% favorite over Deiveson Figueiredo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Umar Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1764, a 38-point edge.
Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Deiveson Figueiredo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Umar Nurmagomedov 45%.
Deiveson Figueiredo and Umar Nurmagomedov share 2 common opponents: Yadong Song and Cory Sandhagen.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.