Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Gamrot
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record26-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
74"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Mateusz Gamrot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Diego Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1751
If they lose-10→ 1727
If they win+10→ 1820
If they lose-14→ 1796
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego FerreiraMateusz Gamrot
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Gamrot70%
Diego Ferreira 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Gamrot a 70% favorite over Diego Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Mateusz Gamrot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1810 to 1737, a 73-point edge.
Diego Ferreira finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Gamrot 54%.
Diego Ferreira and Mateusz Gamrot share 1 common opponent: Beneil Dariush.
Diego Ferreira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.